Iceland vs Latvia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.8%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.2%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.3%
13.9%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Iceland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2007 |
ISL
2 - 1
NIR
46%
28%
27%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2007 |
ISL
1 - 1
ESP
11%
21%
68%
|
79 | 98 | 19 | +1 |
| 22 Aug. 2007 |
ISL
1 - 1
CAN
47%
26%
27%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2007 |
SWE
5 - 0
ISL
77%
16%
7%
|
80 | 93 | 13 | -1 |
| 02 Jun. 2007 |
ISL
1 - 1
LIE
85%
11%
4%
|
80 | 21 | 59 | 0 |
Matches
Latvia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2007 |
ESP
2 - 0
LVA
84%
13%
3%
|
73 | 98 | 25 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2007 |
LVA
1 - 0
NIR
33%
28%
39%
|
72 | 84 | 12 | +1 |
| 22 Aug. 2007 |
LVA
1 - 2
MDA
55%
24%
20%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2007 |
LVA
0 - 2
DNK
12%
22%
66%
|
73 | 94 | 21 | -1 |
| 02 Jun. 2007 |
LVA
0 - 2
ESP
9%
20%
71%
|
73 | 99 | 26 | 0 |