Iceland vs Italy analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.6%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.8%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.1%
+2
4.1%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
3.8%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
<0%
+1
14.6%
31.2%
Draw
0-0
16.7%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.2%
0
31.2%
49.2%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
19.5%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27.5%
0-2
11.4%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
14.4%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Iceland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 1988 |
ISL
0 - 1
POR
21%
25%
55%
|
62 | 85 | 23 | 0 |
| 04 May. 1988 |
HUN
3 - 0
ISL
83%
13%
5%
|
62 | 89 | 27 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1988 |
DDR
3 - 0
ISL
82%
13%
5%
|
62 | 88 | 26 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 1988 |
NED
1 - 0
ISL
78%
16%
6%
|
63 | 89 | 26 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 1987 |
SUN
2 - 0
ISL
83%
13%
4%
|
63 | 93 | 30 | 0 |
Matches
Italy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 1988 |
LUX
0 - 3
ITA
21%
31%
48%
|
93 | 36 | 57 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1988 |
ITA
3 - 0
NED
62%
22%
16%
|
93 | 89 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1988 |
YUG
1 - 1
ITA
51%
26%
23%
|
93 | 89 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 1988 |
NED
0 - 1
ITA
46%
29%
25%
|
93 | 89 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 1988 |
POR
0 - 0
ITA
32%
31%
37%
|
93 | 85 | 8 | 0 |