Iceland vs Northern Ireland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.2%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.5%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.2%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.6%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
50.4%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.7%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.4%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.8%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Iceland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 1976 |
ISL
0 - 1
NED
20%
24%
56%
|
51 | 86 | 35 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 1976 |
ISL
0 - 1
BEL
22%
22%
56%
|
51 | 83 | 32 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 1976 |
ISL
3 - 1
LUX
74%
16%
11%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | +1 |
| 14 Jul. 1976 |
FIN
1 - 0
ISL
64%
18%
18%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 May. 1976 |
NOR
0 - 1
ISL
67%
17%
17%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Northern Ireland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jun. 1977 |
NIR
1 - 1
WAL
52%
24%
25%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 1977 |
SCO
3 - 0
NIR
73%
18%
8%
|
76 | 86 | 10 | -1 |
| 28 May. 1977 |
NIR
1 - 2
ENG
22%
26%
52%
|
76 | 91 | 15 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 1977 |
GER
5 - 0
NIR
82%
13%
5%
|
76 | 89 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 1976 |
BEL
2 - 0
NIR
69%
18%
13%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | -1 |