Iceland vs England analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13.3%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.8%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
3.4%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9.9%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
22.6%
64%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
0-1
15.7%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
-1
26.7%
0-2
13.9%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20%
0-3
8.1%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
10.8%
0-4
3.6%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.5%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Iceland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 1982 |
KWT
0 - 0
ISL
83%
11%
6%
|
56 | 74 | 18 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 1981 |
WAL
2 - 2
ISL
80%
14%
6%
|
55 | 82 | 27 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 1981 |
ISL
1 - 1
CSK
11%
21%
67%
|
55 | 88 | 33 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 1981 |
ISL
2 - 0
TUR
35%
29%
36%
|
53 | 70 | 17 | +2 |
| 26 Aug. 1981 |
DEN
3 - 0
ISL
90%
7%
3%
|
54 | 79 | 25 | -1 |
Matches
England
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 1982 |
SCO
0 - 1
ENG
30%
27%
43%
|
91 | 86 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 May. 1982 |
ENG
2 - 0
NED
66%
21%
13%
|
91 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 1982 |
WAL
0 - 1
ENG
22%
26%
52%
|
91 | 82 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 1982 |
ENG
4 - 0
NIR
80%
15%
5%
|
91 | 80 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 1981 |
ENG
1 - 0
HUN
57%
24%
20%
|
91 | 89 | 2 | 0 |