Iceland vs Netherlands analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.1%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.4%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
56%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
0-1
12.3%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.9%
0-2
10.5%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.3%
0-3
6%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.8%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Iceland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 1976 |
ISL
0 - 1
BEL
22%
22%
56%
|
51 | 83 | 32 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 1976 |
ISL
3 - 1
LUX
74%
16%
11%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | +1 |
| 14 Jul. 1976 |
FIN
1 - 0
ISL
64%
18%
18%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 May. 1976 |
NOR
0 - 1
ISL
67%
17%
17%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 1975 |
SUN
1 - 0
ISL
82%
13%
5%
|
50 | 88 | 38 | 0 |
Matches
Netherlands
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jun. 1976 |
NED
3 - 2
YUG
57%
21%
22%
|
86 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 1976 |
CSK
3 - 1
NED
70%
16%
14%
|
86 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 May. 1976 |
BEL
1 - 2
NED
48%
26%
27%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 1976 |
NED
5 - 0
BEL
64%
21%
15%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 Nov. 1975 |
ITA
1 - 0
NED
66%
21%
13%
|
85 | 91 | 6 | 0 |