Iceland vs Netherlands analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.1%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.9%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
5.7%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
12.9%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.8%
58.1%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.6%
0-2
8.2%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
17.5%
0-3
5.7%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
10.3%
0-4
3%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.8%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Iceland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 1973 |
NED
5 - 0
ISL
84%
10%
6%
|
50 | 80 | 30 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 1973 |
ISL
0 - 4
NOR
47%
21%
32%
|
51 | 60 | 9 | -1 |
| 19 Jul. 1973 |
ISL
0 - 2
DDR
7%
17%
76%
|
51 | 84 | 33 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 1973 |
ISL
1 - 2
DDR
7%
17%
76%
|
51 | 84 | 33 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 1973 |
SWE
1 - 0
ISL
86%
10%
4%
|
52 | 87 | 35 | -1 |
Matches
Netherlands
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 1973 |
NED
5 - 0
ISL
84%
10%
6%
|
80 | 50 | 30 | 0 |
| 02 May. 1973 |
NED
3 - 2
ESP
40%
27%
33%
|
79 | 88 | 9 | +1 |
| 28 Mar. 1973 |
AUT
1 - 0
NED
64%
21%
16%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 1972 |
BEL
0 - 0
NED
62%
21%
17%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 1972 |
NED
9 - 0
NOR
78%
14%
9%
|
79 | 60 | 19 | +1 |