Iceland vs Georgia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.5%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.7%
19.8%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Iceland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 2009 |
ISL
1 - 1
NOR
23%
26%
51%
|
79 | 91 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2009 |
ISL
1 - 1
SVK
35%
27%
38%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2009 |
MKD
2 - 0
ISL
47%
26%
28%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 Jun. 2009 |
ISL
1 - 2
NED
11%
21%
68%
|
80 | 99 | 19 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2009 |
SCO
2 - 1
ISL
66%
22%
13%
|
80 | 90 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Georgia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 2009 |
GEO
0 - 2
ITA
15%
26%
60%
|
76 | 98 | 22 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2009 |
MLT
2 - 0
GEO
18%
22%
60%
|
76 | 52 | 24 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2009 |
ALB
1 - 1
GEO
39%
27%
34%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2009 |
GEO
1 - 2
MDA
60%
23%
17%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 2009 |
GEO
0 - 0
MNE
68%
18%
14%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |