Iceland vs France analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
11.3%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.2%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
2.8%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
<0%
+1
8.7%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
21.7%
67%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
0-1
16.7%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27%
0-2
15%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0%
-2
21%
0-3
9%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
11.6%
0-4
4.1%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Iceland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2019 |
ALB
4 - 2
ISL
27%
26%
47%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2019 |
ISL
3 - 0
MDA
83%
13%
4%
|
80 | 55 | 25 | +1 |
| 11 Jun. 2019 |
ISL
2 - 1
TUR
28%
26%
45%
|
80 | 87 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2019 |
ISL
1 - 0
ALB
64%
22%
14%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2019 |
FRA
4 - 0
ISL
81%
14%
6%
|
80 | 94 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
France
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2019 |
FRA
3 - 0
AND
86%
10%
4%
|
94 | 36 | 58 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2019 |
FRA
4 - 1
ALB
84%
12%
4%
|
94 | 73 | 21 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2019 |
AND
0 - 4
FRA
4%
17%
79%
|
94 | 36 | 58 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2019 |
TUR
2 - 0
FRA
18%
25%
57%
|
94 | 86 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2019 |
FRA
2 - 0
BOL
88%
10%
3%
|
94 | 75 | 19 | 0 |