Iceland vs France analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.1%
+2
3.6%
1-0
8%
2-1
3.8%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
<0%
+1
12.5%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
12.1%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
26.8%
56.2%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
17.6%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27.4%
0-2
12.7%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
17.3%
0-3
6.2%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
7.8%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Iceland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 1986 |
ISL
1 - 2
CSK
14%
23%
63%
|
56 | 88 | 32 | 0 |
| 25 May. 1986 |
ISL
1 - 2
IRL
26%
27%
47%
|
57 | 78 | 21 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 1986 |
KWT
1 - 0
ISL
79%
14%
7%
|
57 | 74 | 17 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 1986 |
BHR
0 - 2
ISL
54%
24%
22%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 1986 |
BHR
2 - 1
ISL
51%
25%
25%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
France
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 1986 |
SUI
2 - 0
FRA
24%
28%
47%
|
92 | 80 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 1986 |
FRA
4 - 2
BEL
73%
17%
10%
|
92 | 87 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 1986 |
FRA
0 - 2
BRD
49%
23%
28%
|
92 | 93 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 1986 |
BRA
1 - 1
FRA
71%
17%
12%
|
92 | 95 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 1986 |
ITA
0 - 2
FRA
57%
22%
21%
|
92 | 91 | 1 | 0 |