Iceland vs France analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.8%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.5%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
8%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.7%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.2%
39%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
18.7%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
11.6%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Iceland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jul. 1957 |
ISL
2 - 6
DEN
41%
21%
37%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 1957 |
ISL
0 - 3
NOR
51%
20%
29%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 Jun. 1957 |
BEL
8 - 3
ISL
63%
17%
20%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | -1 |
| 02 Jun. 1957 |
FRA
8 - 0
ISL
75%
14%
11%
|
68 | 79 | 11 | -1 |
| 29 Jun. 1956 |
FIN
2 - 1
ISL
56%
18%
26%
|
68 | 50 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
France
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jun. 1957 |
FRA
8 - 0
ISL
75%
14%
11%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1957 |
POR
0 - 1
FRA
50%
21%
29%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 1956 |
FRA
6 - 3
BEL
65%
18%
17%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 1956 |
FRA
2 - 1
SUN
79%
12%
9%
|
78 | 32 | 46 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 1956 |
FRA
1 - 2
HUN
24%
19%
57%
|
78 | 91 | 13 | 0 |