Iceland vs Finland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.6%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.7%
1-0
6%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.4%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
32.2%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Iceland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jun. 1980 |
ISL
0 - 4
WAL
21%
24%
55%
|
50 | 80 | 30 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 1979 |
POL
2 - 0
ISL
88%
9%
3%
|
50 | 88 | 38 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1979 |
ISL
0 - 3
DDR
19%
24%
57%
|
50 | 88 | 38 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 1979 |
ISL
0 - 4
NED
18%
24%
58%
|
51 | 88 | 37 | -1 |
| 09 Jun. 1979 |
ISL
1 - 2
SUI
35%
24%
41%
|
51 | 71 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Finland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jun. 1980 |
FIN
0 - 2
BGR
34%
26%
40%
|
57 | 79 | 22 | 0 |
| 22 May. 1980 |
FIN
0 - 2
SWE
18%
20%
62%
|
58 | 84 | 26 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 1979 |
BMU
0 - 2
FIN
44%
22%
34%
|
57 | 48 | 9 | +1 |
| 20 Nov. 1979 |
MEX
1 - 1
FIN
77%
15%
8%
|
56 | 82 | 26 | +1 |
| 31 Oct. 1979 |
SUN
2 - 2
FIN
86%
11%
3%
|
56 | 90 | 34 | 0 |