Iceland vs Estonia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.9%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.1%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.5%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
10%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
21.3%
13.9%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10%
0-2
2%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Iceland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 1994 |
ISL
1 - 0
BOL
42%
25%
33%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 May. 1994 |
BRA
3 - 0
ISL
84%
12%
4%
|
70 | 96 | 26 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 1994 |
USA
1 - 2
ISL
71%
18%
11%
|
69 | 79 | 10 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 1994 |
KSA
2 - 0
ISL
73%
17%
10%
|
69 | 80 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1993 |
TUN
3 - 1
ISL
62%
21%
16%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Estonia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jul. 1994 |
LVA
2 - 0
EST
64%
21%
15%
|
59 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 1994 |
LTU
3 - 0
EST
69%
19%
12%
|
60 | 70 | 10 | -1 |
| 01 Jun. 1994 |
MKD
2 - 0
EST
65%
20%
15%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | -1 |
| 23 May. 1994 |
EST
1 - 2
WAL
10%
23%
67%
|
61 | 85 | 24 | 0 |
| 07 May. 1994 |
USA
4 - 0
EST
80%
14%
6%
|
62 | 78 | 16 | -1 |