Iceland vs USA analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.9%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.4%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.8%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.6%
38.5%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.6%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.3%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Iceland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jun. 1993 |
ISL
2 - 0
HUN
21%
26%
52%
|
68 | 88 | 20 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 1993 |
ISL
1 - 1
RUS
22%
25%
53%
|
68 | 82 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 May. 1993 |
LUX
1 - 1
ISL
30%
27%
43%
|
68 | 35 | 33 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 1993 |
USA
1 - 1
ISL
69%
19%
12%
|
68 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 1992 |
RUS
1 - 0
ISL
84%
11%
6%
|
68 | 80 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
USA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jul. 1993 |
MEX
4 - 0
USA
71%
19%
10%
|
79 | 90 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 1993 |
USA
1 - 0
CRC
47%
27%
26%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 1993 |
USA
1 - 0
HND
48%
27%
25%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | +1 |
| 14 Jul. 1993 |
USA
2 - 1
PAN
67%
21%
12%
|
78 | 63 | 15 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 1993 |
USA
1 - 0
JAM
64%
22%
14%
|
78 | 65 | 13 | 0 |