Iceland vs USA analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.9%
Win probability
2.45
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.5%
7-4
0.1%
+3
8.9%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
3.5%
5-3
1.1%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
14.5%
1-0
3%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
5.7%
4-3
2.3%
5-4
0.5%
6-5
0.1%
+1
18.9%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
1.2%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
7%
3-3
3.7%
4-4
1.1%
5-5
0.2%
6-6
<0%
0
19.2%
30.9%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1.8%
4-5
0.4%
5-6
0.1%
-1
14.9%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.7%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
9%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Iceland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jul. 1955 |
ISL
0 - 4
DEN
44%
21%
36%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 1954 |
SWE
3 - 2
ISL
86%
9%
5%
|
68 | 85 | 17 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 1954 |
ISL
1 - 0
NOR
50%
20%
30%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 1953 |
NOR
3 - 1
ISL
61%
17%
22%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 1953 |
DEN
4 - 0
ISL
74%
14%
12%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
USA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jun. 1953 |
USA
3 - 6
ENG
30%
21%
49%
|
66 | 88 | 22 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 1952 |
ITA
8 - 0
USA
80%
12%
8%
|
67 | 88 | 21 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 1952 |
SCO
6 - 0
USA
68%
17%
15%
|
67 | 83 | 16 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 1950 |
CHI
5 - 2
USA
55%
19%
26%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 Jun. 1950 |
USA
1 - 0
ENG
25%
20%
55%
|
67 | 88 | 21 | +1 |