Iceland vs Spain analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.7%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
3.3%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9.7%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
22.1%
64.9%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
0-1
15.5%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.6%
0-2
13.9%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.2%
0-3
8.3%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
11.1%
0-4
3.7%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.7%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Iceland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 1985 |
ISL
0 - 1
SCO
14%
22%
64%
|
57 | 87 | 30 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 1985 |
LUX
0 - 0
ISL
41%
26%
33%
|
57 | 36 | 21 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1985 |
KWT
1 - 1
ISL
80%
13%
7%
|
57 | 74 | 17 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 1984 |
WAL
2 - 1
ISL
79%
14%
7%
|
57 | 83 | 26 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1984 |
SCO
3 - 0
ISL
88%
9%
3%
|
57 | 87 | 30 | 0 |
Matches
Spain
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 1985 |
IRL
0 - 0
ESP
29%
28%
43%
|
89 | 77 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1985 |
WAL
3 - 0
ESP
35%
29%
36%
|
89 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 1985 |
ESP
0 - 0
NIR
74%
18%
8%
|
89 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 1985 |
ESP
1 - 0
SCO
59%
24%
17%
|
89 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 1985 |
ESP
3 - 1
FIN
82%
14%
5%
|
89 | 58 | 31 | 0 |