Iceland vs Denmark analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
10%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
4%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.1%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.7%
44.3%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
4.6%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
13.3%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
6.9%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Iceland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 1972 |
ISL
0 - 4
BEL
23%
21%
56%
|
53 | 81 | 28 | 0 |
| 18 May. 1972 |
BEL
4 - 0
ISL
81%
12%
7%
|
54 | 81 | 27 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 1971 |
ISL
0 - 2
JPN
29%
22%
50%
|
54 | 74 | 20 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 1971 |
FRA
1 - 0
ISL
62%
18%
21%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | -1 |
| 26 May. 1971 |
NOR
3 - 1
ISL
69%
16%
16%
|
55 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Denmark
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jun. 1972 |
SWE
2 - 0
DEN
75%
16%
9%
|
74 | 86 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 1972 |
DEN
3 - 0
FIN
77%
14%
10%
|
74 | 51 | 23 | 0 |
| 21 May. 1972 |
ROU
2 - 3
DEN
61%
20%
19%
|
73 | 82 | 9 | +1 |
| 03 May. 1972 |
DEN
1 - 2
ENG
84%
10%
6%
|
73 | 16 | 57 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1972 |
DEN
0 - 1
ALE
86%
9%
5%
|
73 | 9 | 64 | 0 |