Iceland vs Denmark analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.8%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
9%
1-0
3.2%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
15.4%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
3.2%
4-4
0.8%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
20.1%
49.1%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
8%
2-3
5.3%
3-4
1.8%
4-5
0.4%
5-6
0%
-1
19.6%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
6%
2-4
3%
3-5
0.8%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
14.5%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
1.4%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
8.5%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
4-8
0%
-4
4.1%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Iceland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 1964 |
ISL
0 - 2
FIN
81%
11%
7%
|
58 | 45 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 1964 |
ISL
4 - 3
BMU
86%
9%
5%
|
58 | 37 | 21 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1963 |
GBR
4 - 0
ISL
69%
15%
15%
|
59 | 72 | 13 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 1963 |
ISL
0 - 6
GBR
41%
21%
38%
|
60 | 71 | 11 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 1962 |
ISL
1 - 1
IRL
38%
22%
41%
|
59 | 74 | 15 | +1 |
Matches
Denmark
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jun. 1965 |
SUN
6 - 0
DEN
57%
21%
22%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 1965 |
DEN
2 - 1
SWE
37%
23%
40%
|
76 | 87 | 11 | +1 |
| 09 Jun. 1965 |
DEN
3 - 1
FIN
85%
10%
5%
|
76 | 47 | 29 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 1964 |
ITA
3 - 1
DEN
79%
13%
8%
|
76 | 88 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 1964 |
ISR
0 - 1
DEN
49%
22%
29%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |