Iceland vs Belgium analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.1%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.2%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.3%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
13.7%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.1%
55.8%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
16.9%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
9.7%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.5%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Iceland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 1972 |
BEL
4 - 0
ISL
81%
12%
7%
|
54 | 81 | 27 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 1971 |
ISL
0 - 2
JPN
29%
22%
50%
|
54 | 74 | 20 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 1971 |
FRA
1 - 0
ISL
62%
18%
21%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | -1 |
| 26 May. 1971 |
NOR
3 - 1
ISL
69%
16%
16%
|
55 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 May. 1971 |
ISL
0 - 0
FRA
53%
20%
27%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Belgium
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 1972 |
BEL
4 - 0
ISL
81%
12%
7%
|
81 | 54 | 27 | 0 |
| 13 May. 1972 |
BEL
2 - 1
ITA
32%
28%
41%
|
80 | 91 | 11 | +1 |
| 29 Apr. 1972 |
ITA
0 - 0
BEL
80%
13%
6%
|
80 | 91 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 1971 |
POR
1 - 1
BEL
52%
23%
25%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 1971 |
SCO
1 - 0
BEL
59%
23%
19%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |