Iceland vs Belgium analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.6%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
11.1%
1-0
3.2%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.8%
5-4
0.4%
6-5
0.1%
+1
17.1%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
1.6%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
7.3%
3-3
3.5%
4-4
0.9%
5-5
0.2%
6-6
<0%
0
20.3%
42.1%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
5.2%
3-4
1.9%
4-5
0.4%
5-6
0.1%
-1
18.1%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
2.8%
3-5
0.8%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
12.5%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
6.8%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
4-8
0%
-4
3%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Iceland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 1957 |
ISL
1 - 5
FRA
39%
22%
39%
|
64 | 79 | 15 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 1957 |
ISL
2 - 6
DEN
41%
21%
37%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | -1 |
| 08 Jul. 1957 |
ISL
0 - 3
NOR
51%
20%
29%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 Jun. 1957 |
BEL
8 - 3
ISL
63%
17%
20%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | -1 |
| 02 Jun. 1957 |
FRA
8 - 0
ISL
75%
14%
11%
|
68 | 79 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Belgium
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jun. 1957 |
BEL
8 - 3
ISL
63%
17%
20%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 May. 1957 |
BEL
1 - 0
ROU
65%
18%
18%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 1957 |
NED
1 - 1
BEL
60%
19%
22%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1957 |
BEL
0 - 5
ESP
49%
22%
30%
|
72 | 83 | 11 | -1 |
| 23 Dec. 1956 |
GER
4 - 1
BEL
78%
13%
10%
|
72 | 84 | 12 | 0 |