Iceland vs Germany analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
3.7%
Win probability
0.39
Expected goals
3-0
<0%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.1%
2-0
0.4%
3-1
0.1%
4-2
<0%
+2
0.5%
1-0
2%
2-1
1%
3-2
0.2%
4-3
<0%
+1
3.1%
11.6%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
5.1%
2-2
1.3%
3-3
0.1%
0
11.6%
84.7%
Win probability
2.6
Expected goals
0-1
13.1%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
20.9%
0-2
17%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0%
-2
23.5%
0-3
14.8%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
18.9%
0-4
9.6%
1-5
1.9%
2-6
0.2%
-4
11.7%
0-5
5%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
-5
5.9%
0-6
2.2%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
2.5%
0-7
0.8%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.9%
0-8
0.3%
1-9
0%
-8
0.3%
0-9
0.1%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Iceland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 2021 |
ISL
2 - 2
MKD
55%
24%
20%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2021 |
ISL
0 - 2
ROU
26%
25%
49%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2021 |
POL
2 - 2
ISL
73%
17%
10%
|
79 | 88 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2021 |
FRO
0 - 1
ISL
10%
17%
73%
|
79 | 49 | 30 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2021 |
MEX
2 - 1
ISL
80%
14%
6%
|
79 | 91 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Germany
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 2021 |
GER
6 - 0
ARM
92%
6%
2%
|
92 | 73 | 19 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2021 |
LIE
0 - 2
GER
3%
8%
89%
|
92 | 33 | 59 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2021 |
ENG
2 - 0
GER
38%
23%
39%
|
92 | 93 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2021 |
GER
2 - 2
HUN
84%
11%
5%
|
93 | 84 | 9 | -1 |
| 19 Jun. 2021 |
POR
2 - 4
GER
38%
23%
39%
|
92 | 92 | 0 | +1 |