Iceland vs Albania analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.2%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
10%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.6%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
21.7%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Iceland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 1990 |
USA
4 - 1
ISL
69%
18%
13%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1990 |
BMU
0 - 4
ISL
35%
27%
38%
|
64 | 53 | 11 | +1 |
| 28 Mar. 1990 |
LUX
1 - 2
ISL
40%
28%
33%
|
64 | 36 | 28 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1989 |
ISL
2 - 1
TUR
37%
26%
37%
|
63 | 74 | 11 | +1 |
| 06 Sep. 1989 |
ISL
0 - 3
DDR
16%
23%
61%
|
63 | 87 | 24 | 0 |
Matches
Albania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 1989 |
ALB
1 - 2
POL
13%
22%
65%
|
64 | 87 | 23 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 1989 |
SWE
3 - 1
ALB
90%
8%
2%
|
65 | 89 | 24 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 1989 |
ENG
5 - 0
ALB
94%
5%
1%
|
65 | 92 | 27 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 1989 |
ALB
0 - 2
ENG
7%
20%
74%
|
65 | 92 | 27 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 1989 |
ALB
1 - 1
GRC
32%
25%
43%
|
64 | 77 | 13 | +1 |