Northern Ireland vs Yugoslavia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.6%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.7%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.3%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
7%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.8%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.5%
41.8%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
12%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.8%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.3%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Northern Ireland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 1987 |
NIR
0 - 2
ENG
22%
28%
51%
|
83 | 93 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 1987 |
ISR
1 - 1
NIR
54%
28%
19%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 1986 |
TUR
0 - 0
NIR
36%
29%
35%
|
83 | 69 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 1986 |
ENG
3 - 0
NIR
79%
16%
6%
|
83 | 92 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 1986 |
NIR
0 - 3
BRA
31%
26%
43%
|
83 | 94 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Yugoslavia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 1987 |
YUG
4 - 0
AUT
62%
22%
16%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 1986 |
ENG
2 - 0
YUG
63%
21%
16%
|
88 | 92 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 1986 |
YUG
4 - 0
TUR
82%
13%
5%
|
88 | 69 | 19 | 0 |
| 19 May. 1986 |
BEL
1 - 3
YUG
48%
26%
26%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 May. 1986 |
BRD
1 - 1
YUG
72%
17%
11%
|
88 | 93 | 5 | 0 |