Northern Ireland vs Turkey analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.1%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.9%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.5%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.3%
12.6%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Northern Ireland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 1985 |
ESP
0 - 0
NIR
74%
18%
8%
|
82 | 89 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 1985 |
NIR
0 - 1
ENG
21%
27%
52%
|
83 | 92 | 9 | -1 |
| 14 Nov. 1984 |
NIR
2 - 1
FIN
75%
16%
9%
|
82 | 58 | 24 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 1984 |
NIR
3 - 0
ISR
54%
26%
20%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1984 |
NIR
3 - 2
ROU
43%
29%
28%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Turkey
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 1985 |
ROU
3 - 0
TUR
80%
13%
7%
|
69 | 85 | 16 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1985 |
ALB
0 - 0
TUR
47%
23%
30%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 1984 |
TUR
1 - 0
LUX
81%
14%
6%
|
69 | 36 | 33 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 1984 |
TUR
0 - 8
ENG
14%
26%
60%
|
69 | 92 | 23 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 1984 |
TUR
1 - 2
FIN
65%
21%
14%
|
70 | 57 | 13 | -1 |