Northern Ireland vs Sweden analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.6%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.5%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
33.2%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Northern Ireland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jun. 1980 |
AUS
1 - 2
NIR
57%
22%
21%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 1980 |
AUS
1 - 1
NIR
58%
22%
21%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 1980 |
AUS
1 - 2
NIR
60%
21%
19%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 May. 1980 |
WAL
0 - 1
NIR
63%
21%
16%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 May. 1980 |
ENG
1 - 1
NIR
84%
12%
3%
|
77 | 92 | 15 | +1 |
Matches
Sweden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 1980 |
BGR
2 - 3
SWE
42%
27%
32%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1980 |
SWE
0 - 1
SCO
48%
27%
26%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 1980 |
HUN
2 - 0
SWE
73%
18%
10%
|
84 | 90 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 1980 |
SWE
1 - 1
ISL
93%
5%
2%
|
84 | 49 | 35 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 1980 |
SWE
1 - 1
ISR
63%
23%
14%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |