Northern Ireland vs Sweden analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.9%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.2%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
37.8%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Northern Ireland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 1975 |
NIR
1 - 0
WAL
57%
22%
21%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 May. 1975 |
SCO
3 - 0
NIR
66%
22%
12%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | -1 |
| 17 May. 1975 |
NIR
0 - 0
ENG
24%
26%
50%
|
77 | 92 | 15 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 1975 |
NIR
1 - 0
YUG
32%
26%
43%
|
77 | 87 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 1974 |
SWE
0 - 2
NIR
78%
15%
7%
|
76 | 87 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Sweden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 1975 |
NOR
0 - 2
SWE
19%
22%
59%
|
86 | 58 | 28 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 1975 |
SWE
3 - 1
NOR
84%
11%
5%
|
86 | 59 | 27 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 1975 |
SWE
1 - 2
YUG
53%
24%
24%
|
86 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 May. 1975 |
SWE
4 - 0
ALG
80%
14%
6%
|
86 | 69 | 17 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1975 |
SWE
1 - 1
SCO
63%
21%
16%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |