Northern Ireland vs Ireland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.4%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.1%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.7%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
25.4%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Northern Ireland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 1979 |
NIR
1 - 5
ENG
18%
25%
57%
|
76 | 92 | 16 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 1979 |
DEN
4 - 0
NIR
62%
20%
18%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 May. 1979 |
NIR
1 - 1
WAL
50%
25%
25%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 May. 1979 |
SCO
1 - 0
NIR
73%
19%
9%
|
77 | 86 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 May. 1979 |
NIR
0 - 2
ENG
20%
26%
54%
|
77 | 92 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Ireland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 1979 |
IRL
3 - 2
USA
75%
15%
10%
|
76 | 61 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1979 |
IRL
3 - 0
BGR
46%
25%
30%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 1979 |
CSK
4 - 1
IRL
80%
14%
6%
|
75 | 88 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 1979 |
WAL
2 - 1
IRL
59%
22%
19%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | -1 |
| 29 May. 1979 |
IRL
0 - 0
ARG
24%
27%
50%
|
75 | 90 | 15 | +1 |