Northern Ireland vs Catar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.5%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
7%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.1%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
34.1%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20%
0-2
6%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Northern Ireland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
NIR
2 - 1
FIN
40%
28%
32%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2015 |
SCO
1 - 0
NIR
66%
22%
12%
|
76 | 86 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2014 |
ROU
2 - 0
NIR
76%
17%
8%
|
76 | 88 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2014 |
GRC
0 - 2
NIR
70%
21%
10%
|
76 | 88 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
NIR
2 - 0
FRO
76%
17%
7%
|
76 | 50 | 26 | 0 |
Matches
Catar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2015 |
QAT
1 - 0
SVN
47%
27%
26%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2015 |
QAT
1 - 0
ALG
53%
26%
21%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2015 |
QAT
1 - 2
BHR
55%
24%
22%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2015 |
QAT
0 - 1
IRN
25%
25%
50%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
UAE
4 - 1
QAT
47%
24%
29%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | -1 |