Northern Ireland vs Portugal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
9%
Win probability
0.51
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.2%
2-0
1.2%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
<0%
+2
1.6%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
2.2%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
<0%
+1
7.1%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
19.8%
71.3%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
0-1
16.8%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
26.6%
0-2
16.2%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0%
-2
22.2%
0-3
10.4%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
13.2%
0-4
5%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
6.1%
0-5
1.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
2.3%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Northern Ireland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2013 |
NIR
1 - 0
RUS
14%
23%
63%
|
78 | 91 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2013 |
NIR
0 - 2
ISR
27%
26%
48%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2013 |
MLT
0 - 0
NIR
17%
24%
59%
|
78 | 49 | 29 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2012 |
NIR
1 - 1
AZE
68%
21%
11%
|
79 | 64 | 15 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2012 |
POR
1 - 1
NIR
85%
11%
4%
|
79 | 93 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Portugal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2013 |
POR
1 - 1
NED
32%
24%
43%
|
93 | 96 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2013 |
CRO
0 - 1
POR
44%
26%
30%
|
93 | 93 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2013 |
POR
1 - 0
RUS
60%
22%
18%
|
93 | 91 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2013 |
AZE
0 - 2
POR
7%
19%
74%
|
93 | 64 | 29 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2013 |
ISR
3 - 3
POR
23%
25%
52%
|
93 | 85 | 8 | 0 |