Northern Ireland vs Portugal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.2%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
5%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
11.9%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.1%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
7.3%
3-3
3.1%
4-4
0.8%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
20.9%
38.9%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
4.8%
3-4
1.5%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
17.8%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
11.5%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0.1%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Northern Ireland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 1957 |
ITA
1 - 0
NIR
83%
11%
6%
|
62 | 87 | 25 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1957 |
NIR
0 - 0
WAL
44%
21%
36%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | +1 |
| 16 Jan. 1957 |
POR
1 - 1
NIR
70%
15%
15%
|
61 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 1956 |
SCO
1 - 0
NIR
75%
15%
10%
|
61 | 82 | 21 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 1956 |
NIR
1 - 1
ENG
27%
21%
52%
|
61 | 88 | 27 | 0 |
Matches
Portugal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 1957 |
POR
0 - 1
FRA
50%
21%
29%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 1957 |
POR
1 - 1
NIR
70%
15%
15%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 1956 |
POR
2 - 2
HUN
20%
18%
62%
|
71 | 91 | 20 | +1 |
| 03 Jun. 1956 |
POR
3 - 1
ESP
44%
23%
34%
|
70 | 83 | 13 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 1956 |
POR
0 - 1
BRA
35%
22%
43%
|
70 | 87 | 17 | 0 |