Northern Ireland vs Norway analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.5%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.8%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.7%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
39.1%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.4%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Northern Ireland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2016 |
NIR
0 - 3
CRO
16%
23%
61%
|
80 | 91 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2016 |
NIR
4 - 0
AZE
67%
21%
12%
|
80 | 65 | 15 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2016 |
GER
2 - 0
NIR
91%
7%
2%
|
80 | 94 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2016 |
NIR
4 - 0
SMR
83%
14%
4%
|
80 | 28 | 52 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
CZE
0 - 0
NIR
75%
17%
8%
|
80 | 88 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Norway
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2016 |
CZE
2 - 1
NOR
59%
23%
19%
|
84 | 88 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2016 |
NOR
4 - 1
SMR
83%
14%
3%
|
84 | 28 | 56 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2016 |
AZE
1 - 0
NOR
14%
25%
62%
|
85 | 64 | 21 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
NOR
0 - 3
GER
9%
17%
74%
|
85 | 94 | 9 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2016 |
NOR
0 - 1
BLR
59%
24%
17%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |