Northern Ireland vs Luxembourg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.8%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.3%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.8%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
16.5%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+34%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Northern Ireland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jun. 2024 |
NIR
2 - 0
AND
79%
15%
5%
|
76 | 39 | 37 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2024 |
ESP
5 - 1
NIR
89%
8%
3%
|
76 | 95 | 19 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2024 |
SCO
0 - 1
NIR
66%
21%
13%
|
75 | 85 | 10 | +1 |
| 22 Mar. 2024 |
ROU
1 - 1
NIR
65%
21%
14%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2023 |
NIR
2 - 0
DEN
10%
20%
71%
|
74 | 90 | 16 | +1 |
Matches
Luxembourg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jun. 2024 |
BEL
3 - 0
LUX
89%
8%
3%
|
62 | 93 | 31 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2024 |
FRA
3 - 0
LUX
89%
9%
3%
|
62 | 95 | 33 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2024 |
LUX
2 - 1
KAZ
42%
24%
33%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Mar. 2024 |
GEO
2 - 0
LUX
66%
20%
15%
|
62 | 77 | 15 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 2023 |
LIE
0 - 1
LUX
6%
13%
81%
|
62 | 24 | 38 | 0 |