Northern Ireland vs Luxembourg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
85.3%
Win probability
2.43
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.2%
+6
2.1%
5-0
4.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
5.3%
4-0
9.8%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
11.1%
3-0
16.1%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.2%
+3
18.9%
2-0
19.8%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
24.5%
1-0
16.3%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
<0%
+1
22.3%
11.9%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
4.4%
2-2
0.7%
3-3
0.1%
0
11.9%
2.8%
Win probability
0.27
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
0.6%
2-3
0.1%
-1
2.5%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.1%
-2
0.3%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+37%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Northern Ireland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2012 |
RUS
2 - 0
NIR
74%
18%
8%
|
79 | 91 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2012 |
NIR
3 - 3
FIN
38%
28%
34%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2012 |
NED
6 - 0
NIR
88%
10%
3%
|
80 | 98 | 18 | -1 |
| 29 Feb. 2012 |
NIR
0 - 3
NOR
18%
25%
57%
|
81 | 91 | 10 | -1 |
| 11 Oct. 2011 |
ITA
3 - 0
NIR
78%
16%
5%
|
81 | 96 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Luxembourg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2012 |
LUX
1 - 2
POR
6%
19%
75%
|
38 | 94 | 56 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2012 |
LUX
1 - 2
GEO
11%
19%
70%
|
38 | 75 | 37 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2012 |
LUX
0 - 2
MLT
31%
24%
45%
|
40 | 50 | 10 | -2 |
| 29 Feb. 2012 |
LUX
2 - 1
MKD
11%
21%
67%
|
39 | 79 | 40 | +1 |
| 15 Nov. 2011 |
LUX
0 - 1
SUI
10%
21%
69%
|
39 | 91 | 52 | 0 |