Northern Ireland vs Israel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.6%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
7%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12%
1-0
10%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
33.3%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Northern Ireland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2018 |
NIR
1 - 2
BIH
35%
27%
39%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2018 |
CRC
3 - 0
NIR
68%
21%
11%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2018 |
PAN
0 - 0
NIR
53%
27%
20%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2018 |
NIR
2 - 1
KOR
26%
26%
48%
|
80 | 87 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2017 |
SUI
0 - 0
NIR
74%
17%
9%
|
80 | 88 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Israel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2018 |
ALB
1 - 0
ISR
30%
26%
44%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2018 |
ISR
1 - 2
ROU
37%
26%
37%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2017 |
ISR
0 - 1
ESP
10%
17%
73%
|
81 | 95 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2017 |
LIE
0 - 1
ISR
5%
13%
83%
|
81 | 27 | 54 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2017 |
ITA
1 - 0
ISR
75%
18%
8%
|
81 | 92 | 11 | 0 |