Northern Ireland vs Israel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.5%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.9%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.7%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
24.8%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Northern Ireland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 1981 |
NIR
0 - 0
SCO
36%
28%
36%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 1981 |
SWE
1 - 0
NIR
63%
24%
14%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | -1 |
| 19 May. 1981 |
SCO
2 - 0
NIR
69%
21%
11%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 1981 |
NIR
1 - 0
POR
42%
28%
30%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 1981 |
SCO
1 - 1
NIR
69%
21%
10%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Israel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 1981 |
ISR
4 - 1
POR
39%
29%
32%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 1981 |
SCO
3 - 1
ISR
67%
21%
12%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1981 |
ISR
2 - 1
ROU
40%
29%
31%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 1981 |
ISR
0 - 1
SCO
35%
28%
37%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 1980 |
POR
3 - 0
ISR
60%
24%
15%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |