Northern Ireland vs England analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.6%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.1%
1-0
9%
2-1
5%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
15%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
11.2%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
27.6%
50.8%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
15.6%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
26%
0-2
10.8%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
15.4%
0-3
5%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
-3
6.5%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Northern Ireland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 1987 |
ISR
1 - 1
NIR
54%
28%
19%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 1986 |
TUR
0 - 0
NIR
36%
29%
35%
|
83 | 69 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 1986 |
ENG
3 - 0
NIR
79%
16%
6%
|
83 | 93 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 1986 |
NIR
0 - 3
BRA
31%
26%
43%
|
83 | 94 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 1986 |
NIR
1 - 2
ESP
44%
26%
31%
|
84 | 90 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
England
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 1987 |
ESP
2 - 4
ENG
43%
27%
30%
|
93 | 91 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 1986 |
ENG
2 - 0
YUG
63%
21%
16%
|
93 | 89 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 1986 |
ENG
3 - 0
NIR
79%
16%
6%
|
93 | 83 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1986 |
SWE
1 - 0
ENG
30%
29%
41%
|
93 | 86 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 1986 |
ARG
2 - 1
ENG
51%
24%
26%
|
93 | 91 | 2 | 0 |