Northern Ireland vs England analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.6%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.8%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.9%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.2%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
54.2%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.8%
0-2
9.2%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.6%
0-3
5.5%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.6%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Northern Ireland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 1968 |
TUR
0 - 3
NIR
48%
23%
29%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 1968 |
NIR
4 - 1
TUR
63%
19%
19%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 1968 |
ISR
2 - 3
NIR
48%
22%
30%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 1968 |
WLS
2 - 0
NIR
60%
20%
20%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 1967 |
ENG
2 - 0
NIR
87%
9%
4%
|
71 | 91 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
England
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 1969 |
ENG
5 - 0
FRA
85%
10%
5%
|
91 | 76 | 15 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 1969 |
ENG
1 - 1
ROU
84%
11%
6%
|
91 | 80 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 1968 |
ENG
1 - 1
BGR
83%
11%
6%
|
91 | 81 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 1968 |
ROU
0 - 0
ENG
23%
23%
54%
|
91 | 79 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 1968 |
ENG
2 - 0
SUN
83%
11%
6%
|
91 | 85 | 6 | 0 |