Northern Ireland vs England analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.5%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.8%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
5%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.8%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.4%
61.1%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.2%
0-2
9.2%
1-3
7%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
18.5%
0-3
6.5%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.1%
0-4
3.4%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5.3%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Northern Ireland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jun. 1966 |
NIR
4 - 1
MEX
46%
22%
32%
|
69 | 79 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 May. 1966 |
NIR
0 - 2
BRD
37%
23%
40%
|
70 | 84 | 14 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 1966 |
WLS
1 - 4
NIR
66%
18%
16%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | +1 |
| 24 Nov. 1965 |
ALB
1 - 1
NIR
46%
22%
32%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 1965 |
ENG
2 - 1
NIR
89%
8%
4%
|
69 | 88 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
England
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jul. 1966 |
ENG
4 - 2
BRD
79%
12%
9%
|
90 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 1966 |
ENG
2 - 1
PRT
87%
8%
4%
|
90 | 80 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 1966 |
ENG
1 - 0
ARG
77%
13%
10%
|
90 | 89 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 1966 |
ENG
2 - 0
FRA
88%
8%
4%
|
90 | 78 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 1966 |
ENG
2 - 0
MEX
87%
9%
5%
|
89 | 78 | 11 | +1 |