Northern Ireland vs Hungary analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.1%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.2%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.2%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
48.6%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.6%
0-2
8.7%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.8%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.8%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Northern Ireland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2015 |
FRO
1 - 3
NIR
21%
25%
54%
|
77 | 51 | 26 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2015 |
NIR
0 - 0
ROU
19%
24%
57%
|
77 | 88 | 11 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2015 |
NIR
1 - 1
QAT
39%
27%
34%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
NIR
2 - 1
FIN
40%
28%
32%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 2015 |
SCO
1 - 0
NIR
66%
22%
12%
|
76 | 86 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Hungary
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2015 |
HUN
0 - 0
ROU
39%
26%
36%
|
85 | 88 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2015 |
FIN
0 - 1
HUN
35%
25%
40%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | +1 |
| 05 Jun. 2015 |
HUN
4 - 0
LTU
69%
19%
11%
|
84 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
HUN
0 - 0
GRC
45%
27%
29%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2014 |
HUN
1 - 2
RUS
33%
26%
41%
|
84 | 89 | 5 | 0 |