Northern Ireland vs Hungary analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.5%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.2%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
35.2%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.9%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Northern Ireland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2000 |
MLT
0 - 3
NIR
21%
27%
53%
|
85 | 56 | 29 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2000 |
LUX
1 - 3
NIR
12%
24%
65%
|
85 | 40 | 45 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 1999 |
FIN
4 - 1
NIR
39%
29%
32%
|
85 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1999 |
GER
4 - 0
NIR
81%
14%
6%
|
85 | 94 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1999 |
NIR
0 - 3
TUR
53%
26%
21%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Hungary
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2000 |
HUN
0 - 0
POL
38%
27%
36%
|
86 | 89 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2000 |
HUN
0 - 3
AUS
49%
27%
25%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 2000 |
URU
2 - 0
HUN
54%
24%
23%
|
87 | 90 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2000 |
PAR
1 - 1
HUN
51%
25%
25%
|
87 | 90 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 1999 |
POR
3 - 0
HUN
58%
24%
19%
|
87 | 93 | 6 | 0 |