Northern Ireland vs Netherlands analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.2%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
16.3%
1-0
5%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
5.2%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.7%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.7%
25%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
3%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Northern Ireland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 1964 |
SCO
3 - 2
NIR
75%
15%
10%
|
67 | 84 | 17 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 1964 |
SUI
2 - 1
NIR
60%
19%
21%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 1964 |
NIR
1 - 0
SUI
68%
16%
16%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 1964 |
NIR
3 - 4
ENG
20%
19%
61%
|
68 | 88 | 20 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 1964 |
NIR
3 - 0
URU
35%
22%
43%
|
66 | 83 | 17 | +2 |
Matches
Netherlands
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 1965 |
ISR
0 - 1
NED
50%
20%
30%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 1964 |
NED
1 - 1
ENG
20%
19%
61%
|
70 | 88 | 18 | +1 |
| 25 Oct. 1964 |
ALB
0 - 2
NED
45%
21%
34%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1964 |
BEL
1 - 0
NED
63%
18%
20%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 May. 1964 |
NED
2 - 0
ALB
60%
19%
21%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |