Northern Ireland vs Greece analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.1%
Win probability
2.8
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
9-4
<0%
+5
3.4%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
1.1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
7%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
2.3%
6-3
0.6%
7-4
0.1%
8-5
<0%
+3
12%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
7%
4-2
4.1%
5-3
1.3%
6-4
0.3%
7-5
<0%
+2
17.1%
1-0
3.2%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
5.9%
4-3
2.3%
5-4
0.5%
6-5
0.1%
+1
19.4%
17.2%
Draw
0-0
1.1%
1-1
5.3%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
3.3%
4-4
1%
5-5
0.2%
6-6
<0%
0
17.2%
21.7%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
1.4%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0.1%
-1
11.6%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Northern Ireland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 1961 |
NIR
1 - 6
SCO
39%
22%
38%
|
64 | 82 | 18 | 0 |
| 10 May. 1961 |
BRD
2 - 1
NIR
78%
13%
9%
|
65 | 82 | 17 | -1 |
| 03 May. 1961 |
GRC
2 - 1
NIR
56%
20%
25%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 1961 |
ITA
3 - 2
NIR
78%
13%
8%
|
65 | 86 | 21 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1961 |
NIR
1 - 5
WAL
54%
21%
26%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Greece
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 1961 |
GRC
2 - 1
NIR
56%
20%
25%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 1960 |
GRC
0 - 3
BRD
35%
23%
42%
|
64 | 81 | 17 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 1960 |
DEN
7 - 2
GRC
67%
16%
18%
|
65 | 75 | 10 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 1960 |
GRC
0 - 5
YUG
31%
23%
46%
|
66 | 86 | 20 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 1960 |
GRC
2 - 1
ISR
47%
21%
33%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | +1 |