Northern Ireland vs Wales analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.7%
Win probability
2.39
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.5%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.8%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.4%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
18.9%
20.3%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
12%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
2-7
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Northern Ireland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 1966 |
SCO
2 - 1
NIR
70%
17%
12%
|
71 | 83 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 1966 |
NIR
0 - 2
ENG
19%
20%
61%
|
71 | 90 | 19 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 1966 |
NIR
4 - 1
MEX
46%
22%
32%
|
69 | 79 | 10 | +2 |
| 07 May. 1966 |
NIR
0 - 2
BRD
37%
23%
40%
|
70 | 84 | 14 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 1966 |
WAL
1 - 4
NIR
66%
18%
16%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Wales
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 1966 |
ENG
5 - 1
WAL
88%
8%
4%
|
73 | 90 | 17 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 1966 |
WAL
1 - 1
SCO
36%
23%
41%
|
73 | 84 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 May. 1966 |
CHI
2 - 0
WAL
64%
19%
17%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | -1 |
| 18 May. 1966 |
BRA
1 - 0
WAL
85%
10%
5%
|
74 | 90 | 16 | 0 |
| 14 May. 1966 |
BRA
3 - 1
WAL
85%
10%
5%
|
74 | 90 | 16 | 0 |