Northern Ireland vs Slovenia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.9%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
5%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.9%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
24%
28.5%
Draw
0-0
10.9%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.5%
27.6%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Northern Ireland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2011 |
SRB
2 - 1
NIR
59%
25%
16%
|
83 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2011 |
NIR
0 - 3
SCO
34%
29%
37%
|
84 | 88 | 4 | -1 |
| 17 Nov. 2010 |
NIR
1 - 1
MAR
39%
29%
32%
|
83 | 87 | 4 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 2010 |
FRO
1 - 1
NIR
23%
27%
51%
|
83 | 51 | 32 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2010 |
NIR
0 - 0
ITA
18%
27%
55%
|
83 | 95 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Slovenia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2011 |
SVN
0 - 1
ITA
22%
27%
51%
|
85 | 96 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2011 |
ALB
1 - 2
SVN
34%
30%
36%
|
85 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2010 |
SVN
1 - 2
GEO
65%
20%
15%
|
85 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2010 |
EST
0 - 1
SVN
28%
29%
43%
|
84 | 71 | 13 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2010 |
SVN
5 - 1
FRO
84%
12%
5%
|
84 | 52 | 32 | 0 |