Northern Ireland vs Scotland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.9%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.8%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.3%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.7%
40.3%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.7%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Northern Ireland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 1980 |
ISR
0 - 0
NIR
60%
22%
19%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 1979 |
NIR
1 - 0
IRL
51%
23%
25%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1979 |
NIR
1 - 5
ENG
18%
25%
57%
|
77 | 92 | 15 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 1979 |
DEN
4 - 0
NIR
62%
20%
18%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 May. 1979 |
NIR
1 - 1
WAL
50%
25%
25%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Scotland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 1980 |
SCO
4 - 1
POR
57%
25%
19%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 1979 |
SCO
1 - 3
BEL
61%
24%
15%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 1979 |
BEL
2 - 0
SCO
44%
27%
29%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1979 |
SCO
1 - 1
AUT
54%
26%
21%
|
86 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1979 |
SCO
1 - 1
PER
69%
20%
11%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |