Northern Ireland vs Scotland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.7%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.3%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.9%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.4%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
43.9%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
20.1%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
13.2%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
6.6%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Northern Ireland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 1965 |
NIR
4 - 1
ALB
61%
18%
21%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1965 |
NED
0 - 0
NIR
67%
17%
16%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1965 |
NIR
0 - 5
WAL
57%
20%
23%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 1965 |
NIR
2 - 1
NED
55%
20%
25%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | +1 |
| 25 Nov. 1964 |
SCO
3 - 2
NIR
75%
15%
10%
|
67 | 84 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Scotland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 1965 |
FIN
1 - 2
SCO
26%
21%
53%
|
84 | 47 | 37 | 0 |
| 23 May. 1965 |
POL
1 - 1
SCO
35%
23%
42%
|
85 | 74 | 11 | -1 |
| 08 May. 1965 |
SCO
0 - 0
ESP
53%
22%
26%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1965 |
ENG
2 - 2
SCO
74%
14%
12%
|
84 | 88 | 4 | +1 |
| 25 Nov. 1964 |
SCO
3 - 2
NIR
75%
15%
10%
|
84 | 67 | 17 | 0 |