Northern Ireland vs Scotland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.9%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.6%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.3%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.8%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
42.6%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
19.9%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
12.8%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Northern Ireland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 1953 |
NIR
2 - 3
WAL
37%
21%
42%
|
60 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 1952 |
FRA
3 - 1
NIR
74%
14%
12%
|
60 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 1952 |
SCO
1 - 1
NIR
77%
14%
9%
|
60 | 84 | 24 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1952 |
NIR
2 - 2
ENG
24%
20%
56%
|
59 | 88 | 29 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 1952 |
WAL
3 - 0
NIR
71%
15%
14%
|
60 | 72 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Scotland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 1953 |
SCO
1 - 2
SWE
49%
22%
29%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1953 |
ENG
2 - 2
SCO
76%
14%
11%
|
83 | 88 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 1952 |
SCO
1 - 1
NIR
77%
14%
9%
|
84 | 60 | 24 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 1952 |
WAL
1 - 2
SCO
43%
22%
35%
|
83 | 73 | 10 | +1 |
| 30 May. 1952 |
SWE
3 - 1
SCO
68%
16%
16%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | -1 |