Northern Ireland vs Denmark analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.3%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.9%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.6%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
30.2%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.6%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Northern Ireland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 1978 |
IRL
0 - 0
NIR
54%
23%
24%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 May. 1978 |
WAL
1 - 0
NIR
56%
23%
22%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 May. 1978 |
ENG
1 - 0
NIR
84%
12%
4%
|
76 | 91 | 15 | 0 |
| 13 May. 1978 |
SCO
1 - 1
NIR
76%
17%
7%
|
76 | 87 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 1977 |
NIR
3 - 0
BEL
37%
26%
37%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Denmark
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 1978 |
DEN
2 - 2
BGR
53%
22%
25%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1978 |
DEN
3 - 4
ENG
25%
27%
48%
|
76 | 91 | 15 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 1978 |
DEN
2 - 1
SWE
38%
27%
35%
|
76 | 86 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 1978 |
ISL
0 - 0
DEN
21%
21%
58%
|
76 | 52 | 24 | 0 |
| 31 May. 1978 |
NOR
1 - 2
DEN
33%
24%
43%
|
76 | 57 | 19 | 0 |