Northern Ireland vs Cyprus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.9%
Win probability
2.6
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.4%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
7.3%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
5%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.9%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
3.3%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
18.5%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
5.1%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.8%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
17.4%
17.7%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
10.6%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Northern Ireland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 1973 |
NIR
1 - 1
POR
36%
26%
38%
|
74 | 83 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 1973 |
CYP
1 - 0
NIR
43%
23%
34%
|
75 | 63 | 12 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 1972 |
BGR
3 - 0
NIR
68%
18%
14%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 May. 1972 |
WAL
0 - 0
NIR
47%
23%
30%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 May. 1972 |
ENG
0 - 1
NIR
87%
10%
4%
|
74 | 91 | 17 | +1 |
Matches
Cyprus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 1973 |
CYP
1 - 0
NIR
43%
23%
34%
|
63 | 75 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 1973 |
CYP
0 - 3
BGR
21%
23%
56%
|
64 | 82 | 18 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 1972 |
CYP
0 - 4
BGR
23%
23%
54%
|
64 | 81 | 17 | 0 |
| 10 May. 1972 |
CYP
0 - 1
POR
26%
24%
51%
|
64 | 81 | 17 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1972 |
POR
4 - 0
CYP
76%
13%
11%
|
65 | 81 | 16 | -1 |