Northern Ireland vs Bulgaria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.9%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
6%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.5%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.2%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
36.4%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Northern Ireland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 1973 |
NIR
1 - 0
WAL
58%
21%
21%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 May. 1973 |
SCO
1 - 2
NIR
68%
19%
13%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 May. 1973 |
NIR
1 - 2
ENG
22%
25%
53%
|
75 | 92 | 17 | 0 |
| 08 May. 1973 |
NIR
3 - 0
CYP
65%
17%
18%
|
75 | 63 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1973 |
NIR
1 - 1
POR
36%
26%
38%
|
74 | 83 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Bulgaria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 1973 |
BGR
0 - 2
POL
54%
24%
23%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 May. 1973 |
GER
3 - 0
BGR
72%
17%
11%
|
83 | 88 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 May. 1973 |
BGR
2 - 1
POR
59%
23%
18%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1973 |
TUR
5 - 2
BGR
29%
25%
47%
|
83 | 70 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1973 |
BGR
1 - 0
SUN
47%
27%
27%
|
83 | 88 | 5 | 0 |