Northern Ireland vs Brazil analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.1%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
5%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.7%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.2%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
43.1%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.9%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Northern Ireland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jun. 1986 |
NIR
1 - 2
ESP
44%
26%
31%
|
84 | 90 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 1986 |
ALG
1 - 1
NIR
53%
26%
21%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 1986 |
NIR
2 - 1
MAR
70%
19%
12%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 1986 |
NIR
1 - 1
DEN
47%
28%
25%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 1986 |
FRA
0 - 0
NIR
75%
18%
7%
|
83 | 91 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Brazil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jun. 1986 |
BRA
1 - 0
ALG
88%
9%
4%
|
94 | 75 | 19 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 1986 |
ESP
0 - 1
BRA
45%
25%
30%
|
94 | 90 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 May. 1986 |
BRA
1 - 1
CHI
81%
14%
5%
|
94 | 84 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1986 |
BRA
4 - 2
YUG
70%
19%
11%
|
94 | 88 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 1986 |
BRA
3 - 0
FIN
84%
12%
4%
|
94 | 61 | 33 | 0 |